In the post, the advocate of the High Court argued that emotions, online activism, and regional voting patterns will not alter what he described as the hard realities of Kenyan politics.
According to Thuku, when Kenyans head to the polls in 2027, the contest will ultimately narrow down to just three men.
He named former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i of the Jubilee Party, Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, and President William Ruto of the UDA party as the only realistic contenders.
Thuku insisted that regardless of political noise, shifting alliances, or voter turnout, no other candidate stands a genuine chance of being sworn in as Kenya’s sixth president.
“It doesn’t matter how they shall have come through, or who shall have voted or not voted for them, or which regions have more votes,” he wrote.
He added that the outcome will be decided within the existing political architecture, not by wishful thinking or social media pressure.
Using a mix of English and Kiswahili, Thuku reminded Kenyans that once a president is sworn in, the contest effectively ends.
“Na unajua Rais akiapishwa mambo inakwisha,” he noted, emphasizing the finality of the swearing-in ceremony.
He further stated that the moment a president places their hand on the Bible during the oath of office, they cease to be a private individual and become “state property.”
In his remarks, Thuku made it clear that his comments were not an endorsement disguised as analysis.
He openly declared that his preferred candidate is Fred Matiang’i, while stressing that personal preference does not change political reality.
“This is not my decision,” he said, describing the situation as simply how Kenya’s politics are currently structured.
The post has generated wide reactions online, with supporters and critics weighing in on whether the 2027 race is already predetermined.
As early campaigns take shape, Thuku’s remarks reflect a growing conversation about realism, power structures, and limited choices in Kenya’s evolving democracy.
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