ODM Tops List of Most Popular Political Parties – TIFA Report

The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is currently Kenya’s most popular political party, according to a new survey by TIFA Research.

In a report released on Tuesday, December 23, TIFA revealed that ODM leads with 20 per cent support. The ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) follows closely at 16 per cent.

Former President Uhuru Kenyatta’s Jubilee Party ranks third with 11 per cent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) places fourth at 6 per cent. Wiper Patriotic Front (WPF), led by Kalonzo Musyoka, comes fifth with 4 per cent support.

TIFA noted that although ODM and UDA remain the two dominant parties, their overall support has declined compared to the 2022 election period. At the same time, the number of Kenyans who are undecided or have no party affiliation has increased significantly.

“ODM remains the most popular political party, followed by UDA. However, no party currently enjoys a stable or decisive support base, and voter loyalty remains fluid,” TIFA stated.

The survey shows that ODM’s popularity rose sharply from 13 per cent in September to 20 per cent in November, while UDA’s support remained unchanged at 16 per cent. Jubilee also recorded notable growth, rising from 3 per cent to 11 per cent, while DCP’s support dropped from 9 per cent to 6 per cent.

The report further found that 50 per cent of Kenyans expect ODM to exit the broad-based government and join the opposition, while 30 per cent believe the party will remain in government. The remaining 20 per cent are unsure.

The nationwide survey was conducted between November 10 and November 17, covering all 47 counties, with a sample size of 2,053 Kenyan adults aged 18 and above.

The findings come shortly after TIFA reported growing support for the broad-based government. According to a separate poll released on December 18, support for the government doubled from 22 per cent in May to 44 per cent in November, while opposition declined to 48 per cent.

TIFA attributed the shift in public opinion to fading memories of violent protests witnessed earlier in the year, noting a gradual move away from outright opposition toward cautious support for the government.